Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.123029 0.135854 0.149002 0.163458 0.178880 0.194809 0.212480
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.105958 0.125727 0.146985 0.171417 0.198588 0.227752 0.261294
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.089352 0.113254 0.140087 0.172128 0.209033 0.249902 0.298271
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.074487 0.100562 0.131041 0.168727 0.213496 0.264423 0.326167
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.067467 0.096055 0.130608 0.174546 0.228024 0.290131 0.366809
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.060985 0.091323 0.129157 0.178515 0.239910 0.312517 0.403584
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.054956 0.086434 0.126882 0.180931 0.249516 0.331970 0.436852
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049205 0.081266 0.123693 0.181708 0.256726 0.348304 0.466306
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048488 0.082881 0.129332 0.193856 0.278353 0.382556 0.517973
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044560 0.079526 0.127964 0.196549 0.287747 0.401584 0.551018
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041489 0.077110 0.127631 0.200430 0.298572 0.422405 0.586411
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037537 0.072987 0.124584 0.200350 0.304000 0.436279 0.613107
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036312 0.073204 0.128006 0.209674 0.322661 0.468112 0.663918
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.035122 0.073402 0.131425 0.219137 0.341809 0.501039 0.716828
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031819 0.069796 0.128919 0.219978 0.349121 0.518533 0.750070
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027698 0.064361 0.123255 0.215928 0.349459 0.526713 0.771258
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026446 0.063824 0.125100 0.222848 0.365102 0.555336 0.819320
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024829 0.062456 0.125507 0.227563 0.377651 0.579920 0.862311
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022985 0.060466 0.124759 0.230430 0.387542 0.600974 0.900810
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020946 0.057871 0.122832 0.231352 0.394563 0.618136 0.934249
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021447 0.060376 0.129523 0.245739 0.421273 0.662466 1.004304
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019990 0.058741 0.129079 0.248922 0.431663 0.684477 1.044668
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.018871 0.057689 0.129553 0.253507 0.444123 0.709426 1.089159